JPMorgan Opens War Room

by James Rickards Daily Reckoning

The “X-Date” is the day the U.S. Treasury goes broke. It’s not the same as the debt ceiling but it is a consequence of the failure of Congress to raise the debt ceiling.

Right now, the Treasury is at the debt ceiling. That means it has no legal authority to issue net new debt. It can issue new debt if old debt is maturing. That keeps the total debt unchanged; you’re just rolling over maturing debt into new debt without increasing the total debt.

The problem is that the U.S. is running $2 trillion per year deficits. It’s not enough to just roll over existing debt. You have to issue new debt to finance the deficits and that’s where the debt ceiling bites.

How is the U.S. Treasury paying its bills today without new debt? They’re playing shell games, playing fast and loose.