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Real Estate Disaster
by Karl Denninger Market-Ticker.org
Yeah, its coming.
Let’s preface a bit: All Real Estate is local.
But — it got a lot less specifically-local in the last three years, and bifurcated basically two ways: Blue and not-Blue.
The problem is that the dynamic of virus restrictions along with wildly ridiculous fiscal and monetary policy drove a dynamic that was utterly unsustainable and, fundamentally, stupid as a whole although for the people doing it the act looked smart at the time. There were several elements of this:
Work-from-home on a near-universal basis was forced by many employers. This, in high-cost areas, drove employees to think they could arbitrage their higher salary (a result of the high cost of living where they were, such as in Chicago, New York, San Francisco and similar) and keep it while moving somewhere much cheaper, such as Tennessee or Florida. For those who pulled this it was a massive windfall, provided they could sell their home in the high-cost place.